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College football / Independent analysis

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01 / Featured matchups

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02 / Historical backtests

Research you can inspect.

Read the methodology
Spread hit rate
57.2%2022–2025
Totals hit rate
56.4%2023–2025

Highest-confidence 20% of eligible games. Historical simulations, not live results or a guarantee of future performance.

How these results were measured

8,000+ historical game records. Separate weekly walk-forward backtests select about 100 games per model per season.

Each test week uses only information available before that week. Results are evaluated against recorded opening market lines.

Results as of August 24, 2026.

MATCHUPSRead the market.

Spreads, totals, and win markets in one view.

POWER RANKINGSKnow the field.

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COMPARE TEAMSFind the matchup.

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How StatCFB works / 01 of 03

The model.

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Georgia Offense · 11 · ShotgunTexas A&M Defense · 11 · 4–3
Offense DefenseSample play
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